Media analyst: Ten needs 100,000 viewers to help save The Circle as the morning battle intensifies

Nine’s Today show has moved closer to Seven’s morning market leader Sunrise, OzTam ratings analysis carried out by Fusion Strategy suggests.

The analysis by Fusion boss Steve Allen was driven by the imminent launch of Breakfast on Ten in 11 days time.

Over the summer the gap between Sunrise and Today shrank to an average of just 31,000 viewers across the metro markets – compared to the average across the official 2011 ratings period of 41,000. The gap is the smallest since Sunrise overtook Today in 2005. It was at its widest in 2006 when the gap was 206,000.

The official ratings period began this week. Yesterday Sunrise won by just 12,000 viewers – by 379,000 to 367,000, (although it was a much wider 75,000 the day before). The shows are also close in the key advertising demographics.

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